Sidebar – Election Thoughts

Reprinting this from July 3rd. Was “crazy” at the time. Looking pretty damn good now.

5 of my 6 predictions came true. And the 6th is looking pretty good too now.

Maybe I should NOT have quit betting all those years ago? 🤪

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July 3, 2024

All,

Most of you probably don’t know that back in the day, I was kind of a gambling addict (“kind of” is being generous 🙂 )

It’s not the kind of gambling most of you think of. I could go to Vegas or any casino and not spend a dime. I’m not a fan.

But sports gambling.  Because I know sports, I thought I could usually tell who would win. And when you’re right, it seems SO easy. “I knew the Bills were gonna kill ’em”.  But when you’re wrong (more often than not), you can’t figure out how you had it so wrong.

I was addicted for years (actually had my own 900 #–Jim Cash. But that’s another story hahaha), but I gave it up cold turkey one night after a U Kansas college basketball game (yet ANOTHER story) and haven’t bet since. I figured it’s much better this way.

BUT…this political situation, with the US Presidential election, has my betting juices flowing again because I see how this is going to play out.

However, I won’t do it (even though I think I would win big), so the next best thing is to lay out my predictions for you guys.

Again, probably all wet on this, and the odds are not in my favor. But if I were to parlay what’s gonna happen (parlay–look it up 😉 ), here’s what I’d bet on:

  1. Biden drops out–maybe as soon as next week.
  2. Democrats have to scramble to come up quickly with another candidate (not necessarily Harris), which will be a shitshow. Knives will come out. Lots of Democrats will believe it has to be THEM who runs to beat Trump. Gets ugly.  Goes to the convention in Chicago (which was gonna be a circus already with all the protesting that is planned for it).
  3. Republicans will sit back and chuckle at the Democratic mess. And will count their chickens.
  4. But someone survives the chaos (democracy is messy), gets selected, and becomes the new, younger candidate, and the Republican humor suddenly turns to “Oh, shit” as
  5. They realize that the nation is hungry for a younger generation (more than half American’s already don’t want either Biden or Trump) and against anyone other than Biden (and Bernie, hahahaha) Trump is, and looks old.  Plus, the younger candidate will be able to call him out on things like “winning 2 club championships” as a reason that he is fit to be the President of the United States.
  6. And against all odds, the Dems win in November.

As I said, this is a long, long shot. Probably most, maybe none will actually happen.

Just my view of this situation.

(And a good thing I gave up betting 30 years ago, huh? 😉)

Happy Fourth, everyone.

(And America will be ok)

Onward!

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